Reality Steve

The Bachelor 26 - Clayton

The “Bachelor” Clayton – Finale Thoughts, Podcast, “Bachelorette” Men Being Released, & My Annual March Madness Pick

Remember last week I was asking out loud, how the hell are they going to fill 4 hours of programming over 2 nights with what seemingly didn’t seem like a lot of footage considering what I’d spoiled goes down. Well, we got our answer last night in the form of essentially a 45 minute rose ceremony, so that took up 25% of it. And now tonight, we’ve definitely still got close to an hour of footage left in Iceland, then a 1hr ATFR. So now it seems like it’s possible it all might be rushed. We’ll get to that in a second. In case you missed it, yesterday I posted what to expect in terms of the footage you’ll see from Iceland. I mean, it was relayed indirectly to me from someone who has seen the episode, so you know it’s what happens. The only question left is what’s Clayton’s status post show. All I can tell you about that is what I’ve heard, and that’s that he’s single. After all this we’ll see tonight, I find it very hard to believe somehow Clayton and Susie are going to announce, “Yeah, we got back from Iceland, talked it out, and we’re a couple now.” Find that hard to believe. But to know if they’ve spoken or not is damn near impossible. So we’ll see, but all things I’ve been told is he’s single. But technically he could be single, but “talking” with Susie, so who the hell knows. And as for our “Bachelorette” announcement, the latest I’m hearing over the weekend was Gabby, but that’s not confirmed from anywhere. Just the one I was hearing the most.

So just think what needs to be covered in the 2hr finale tonight:

-His talk with Susie convincing her to stay
-Her agreeing and then meeting his parents
-His talks with Gabby and Rachel separately in their rooms to tell them essentially, “Yeah, I know I begged you to stay a couple days ago, buuuuuuut, I’m in love with Susie, again, so I’m gonna have to ask you kindly not hold against me the screw job I just pulled over on you.”
-The final rose ceremony with Susie where Clayton declares his love for her but she tells him in return she’s not in love with him and leaves.
-The live ATFR where we get to hear from Rachel and Gabby, then bring out Clayton with each of them (separately I would assume), then Susie to get an update on if anything has happened with them post filming.
-Our “Bachelorette” announcement and, you would think, introducing us to her first 5 guys like they’ve done in the past.

Whew. That’s a lot to get done in 2 hours, but somehow they need to make it work. More thoughts on that on Page 2.

Not gonna have many “Reader Emails” tomorrow since I leave early for Vegas in the morning. I will have some thoughts up about the finale, maybe answer a few emails, but once I leave, any “Bachelorette” news will all be done on social media through the weekend, so follow me there for the latest. I fully expect the cast list of the guys for next season will drop overnight, because they did the exact same thing last year. Katie’s men were released the Wednesday after Matt’s ATFR and I spent essentially my whole first day in Vegas finding you their last names and IG accounts. Expect the same tomorrow. The guys have been in LA this weekend holed up in a hotel, so I’m guessing they’ll be finding out who the “Bachelorette” is when we all do tonight. If I somehow find out before then, I will post on social media. This week’s podcast with Annie Jorgensen and Carolyn Moore from “Joe Millionaire” will also be posted either late tonight after the “Bachelor” finale or first thing in the morning before I leave. Two really good interviews and, well, lets just say Carolyn doesn’t hold back on some things in regards to Kurt. So look for that tomorrow.

It’s my favorite time of year in Vegas. Hands down. Nothing beats it. Super Bowl Weekend? Psssh. It’s one game. World Series? Ummmm, does anyone really truly watch baseball anymore? NFL Opening Weekend? It’s close. But the opening weekend to March Madness is truly the best few days to be in Vegas and that’s where I’ll be this week. 16 games each Thursday and Friday beginning at 9:15am PT and going all the way til basically 9:30pm. When you have that many games, there’s destined to be a few buzzer beaters, some blowouts that are still in play for gamblers because of the spread, and some crazy backdoor covers that ALWAYS happen. The field was released this past Sunday night, so lets get goin.

Now, I know you all came here for my Super Duper Special Stone Cold Lead Pipe First Round Lock that I’m undefeated on in this column since I started doing this 5 years ago. I’m 5-0 Against the Spread, with 3 of them winning the game outright as dogs. In case you’ve missed those plays in the past, here they were:

2017: UNC-Wilmington (+8 ½) vs Virginia – Winner (lost 76-71)
2018: Loyola-Chicago (+4 1/2 ) vs Miami – Winner (won outright 64-62)
2019: UC Irvine (+4) over Kansas St. – Winner (won outright 70-64)
2020: No tournament – COVID
2021: Ohio (+7) vs Virginia – Winner (won outright 72-68)
2021: BONUS PICK: UCSB (+7) vs Creighton – Winner (lost 63-62)

I’ll be honest, a lot of pressure this year. And I REALLY like more than one game in the first round this season. I have quite a few games I like, so it wasn’t easy to narrow it down to the game I hope keeps my perfect record intact. I’ve been watching college basketball a lot over the last 2 months and feel I’ve got a pretty good grasp on teams and situations. Not to mention knowing the history of the tournament, I rarely bet favorites. Most of the first round plays I like are underdogs. Some ones I considered were Vermont (+5.5), Murray St. (+1), UT-Chattanooga (+7.5), and USC (-1.5). But it came down to two plays for me to put in this column. Since I really like both, and I plan on betting both, you’re getting two plays this year, just like last year.

South Dakota St (+2) over Providence
BONUS PICK: Virginia Tech (+1) over Texas

With spreads that low, I’m basically expecting both teams to win outright. South Dakota St. is 30-4, they’ve won 21 games in a row, and are the second highest scoring team in college bball this season, averaging over 86ppg. Providence won the Big East, but a closer look at their schedule and you see they won so many close games this season, it’s kind of unheard of. When a #4 seed is only a 2pt favorite over a #13 seed, Vegas is telling you seeding doesn’t matter in this game. Look at the other three 3/14 matchups. A 5.5, 7.5, and 14 pt spread. The Big East regular season champ is laying 2 pts? I think South Dakota St. should be favored in this game, so we’ll take any points we can get.

As for Virginia Tech, you just saw them win 4 games in 4 days and beat Duke in the ACC Championship, averaging 80ppg a game in those 4 wins. This team is hot and also 13-2 in their last 15 games. As for Texas, they might be better defensively, but they have a hard time scoring. I just don’t see them keeping pace with the Hokies. VT should be a 2 or 3 pt favorite in this game, so you’re getting a little value here as well. As always is the case in the tournament, a dismal shooting day can do any team in and you can’t handicap against that, but I’ll take my chances with a Hokie team playing lights out towards the end of the season vs a Texas team that sometimes struggles to get to 60 pts in a game.

DOUBLE BONUS: Just to have a little fun and guard against late free throws and, lets face it, with spreads this small it’s not unheard of if either team wins. However, I don’t see either favorite, IF they do win, winning by double digits. So, if you can do a teaser, I’d do a 3 team, 8 pt teaser with South Dakota St. (+10), Va Tech (+9), and add in the Memphis/Boise St. UNDER 140 (teased up from 132). I don’t see either of these teams coming close to hitting 70 pts, so that’ll put that under at 140. Good luck.

Thoughts on last night on Page 2…

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  1. jlal

    March 15, 2022 at 8:35 AM

    Clayton and Susie were lied to and manipulated. Now, the manipulation is not surprising but after hearing the blatant lie that Clayton was told I’m shocked and disgusted. Once again, don’t know if the show wanted to break them up so Susie could be bachelorette, for drama or a combination. They now know what was done to them, but due to their contracts will never be able to say. Curious what the line will be at the ATFR.

    Knowing this only excuses how he acted/reacted to Susie when she was upset and why Susie was so upset. It does not excuse telling three women you are in-love with them. He is an idiot who obviously doesn’t know the difference between love/lust/and being in-love. Three very different states of being and feeling.

    From what I’ve heard the level of lowness this show went, willing to sacrifice their lead is very telling. They are NOT about helping someone “find love”, they are only about ratings and will do and sacrifice whomever they need to achieve that goal, even the lead.

  2. emmancol97

    March 15, 2022 at 9:20 AM

    What were they lied to and manipulated about?? More details would be greatly appreciated!

  3. adelina

    March 15, 2022 at 10:01 AM

    Say what?

  4. adelina

    March 15, 2022 at 10:04 AM

    And here I thought Clifton was a horny moron but alas he was just manipulated.

  5. jlal

    March 15, 2022 at 11:46 AM

    adelina, No he’s a horney moron too. But, he was manipulated and lied to as was Susie.

    If I could give more details I would. I was sworn to secrecy. However, one point as I mentioned in another post, that reinforced what I heard was true, was how he acted. He was sad/confused/desperate inside when Susie was talking to him. After he went outside for awhile, he was pissed, cold, and heartless to her. There is a reason for that, he was lied to when he went outside. That is why he did a 180.

    I’ll give more info after it is over if I can. But, they won’t be telling the truth because of their contracts.

  6. Del Scorcho

    March 15, 2022 at 1:21 PM

    If your source that is “sworn to secrecy” is the Almost Famous podcast, then yes I’m “Sworn to secrecy” too. He said on there that when he went outside someone suggested Susie was just doing that so she could get the Bachelorette gig, and he was very self conscious at that point due to the Shanae and Sarah shenanigans (“there for the right reasons”).

  7. jlal

    March 15, 2022 at 2:19 PM

    It wasn’t the podcast, I don’t listen to any. Nor do I do social media. This was told to me.

  8. katmaybeck

    March 15, 2022 at 10:14 PM

    Wow I’m shocked they got back together but I’m happy for them. It appears they acknowledged how producers twisted things and wanted to create the most drama and Clayton didn’t know how to handle it. Im glad they were able to forgive each other and gain trust again. I’m happy everyone got a happy ending including Gabby AND Rachel!! I’m excited to watch their season and see how they do it.. I wonder if it will be like the Britt/ Kaitlyn season only there won’t be any voting on who the guys want for the sole bachelorette but rather the guys will get to pick for themselves who they want to date based on getting to know them?? That could def create more problems for how to navigate if the men are interested in both women!!

  9. katmaybeck

    March 15, 2022 at 10:17 PM

    Or alternatively both Gabby and Rachel like the same guy??? Def will be the MOST dramatic season ever…. I think BN really got the best outcome in that now they can create a new dynamic to the show that will keep the viewers interested. Everyone wins!!! Yay for love 🙂

  10. jlal

    March 16, 2022 at 3:36 AM

    They talked and found out they both had been manipulated and lied to and worked it out. I actually heard they talked before the final rose/proposal show and figured out what had happened. However, Susie knew she couldn’t say what really happened on air, so didn’t want young girls to see her accept after he treated her so badly. So, she had to declined on the show. but they knew they would be seeing each other again. Happy for them both, but still think Clayton is not emotionally intelligent. I hope he really learned from this experience.

    They said both Gabby and Rachel will be on the full season, so I don’t think it will be like Britt/Kaitlyn’s season. What I wondered is on here RS and everyone seemed to like the Joe Millionaire show which has two leads, right? So, wondered if they were going for that maybe??

    Gabby really grew in my opinion of her. She may have a little girl voice, but she is very grown up and smart in what she says. She slayed it last night, good for her.

  11. adelina

    March 16, 2022 at 4:56 PM

    “Clayton is not emotionally intelligent.” CORRECTION: Clayton is not intelligent.

  12. jlal

    March 16, 2022 at 5:44 PM

    I stand corrected adelina!

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